TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over44c187,307$82,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,415.143164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under56c100,000$56,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,0002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over43c35,584$15,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,301.111369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c32,217$19,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,758.42,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c27,454$15,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,089.8293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c17,908$9,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,129.8796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under70c13,624$9,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,128.1234643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under56c12,400$6,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,456.3238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c11,998$6,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.9452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over26c11,970$3,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.53324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4003740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Under56c9,755$5,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,292.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c3,895$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.261,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over44c2,925$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Over47c2,433$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under57c2,344$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over49c2,048$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.181717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under56c1,366$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.9422947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Under48c1,170$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.55556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over45c999.96$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.982343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over1c957.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.378748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under56c937$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.289652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under57c650$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.55530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Over48c620.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over53c609.2$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239f…3174backed Under57c583.47$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+143.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under57c552.79$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.444656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over48c500$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.794242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over42c481$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3211546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over23c429.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under56c420$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.825556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under56c420$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.818459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under56c420$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.812048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under58c420$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.46949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17628556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Over44c379.55$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1671136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over11c376.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2511529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under57c376.33$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8216448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under57c330$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.92740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under56c330$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under56c330$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.216851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over48c310.83$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.23542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1328242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13213152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13213648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over42c299.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12623353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over6c291.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.975215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Under54c275.93$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.933447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under62c267.74$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over44c230.68$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.511429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over35c227.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.768863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over44c227.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked Over23c205$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8812253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e6…4bfebacked Over50c196$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under56c190$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.611550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34da…ac26backed Over31c189.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.214155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.211655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.228458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under56c170$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.811154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under56c170$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.88148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under56c170$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.812453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under56c170$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.811454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under56c170$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.810952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under56c170$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.87746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under56c170$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.811953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over37c169.03$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under57c155.22$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.776048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6610252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Over44c149.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.916428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over28c141.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over42c138$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9612452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over60c135.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5714936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Over41c130$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.31729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over47c126.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under57c124.56$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.562268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.89445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.811551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.88852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.89252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.812754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.13164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.815459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.88550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.813650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.812350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over46c119.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed Under61c114.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.062770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over49c112.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9914351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over30c107$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.18439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.