TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over70c15,001$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.743164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under30c10,829$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.9596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c9,156$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.192,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under30c4,802$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.682839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Over67c4,124$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.92977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6406245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under40c3,017$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.14463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over70c2,129$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.571566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c1,929$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.751,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over67c1,891$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.063066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under30c1,600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under6c1,562$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.967750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under31c1,559$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.2914142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under3c1,125$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.377412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,066$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.4493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c1,059$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4615459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over76c1,011$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Over76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over55c909.8$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.814748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under30c900$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over70c897.33$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.243650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under30c771.16$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over66c750$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2558957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under30c732.29$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.897025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over69c634.62$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6211268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Over68c621.16$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.772556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c544.5$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Over70c460.44$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.18875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5710361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Under23c424.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c408.46$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over77c400$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.22142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over68c373.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.841145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.833447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over69c344.25$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.914070%28 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over62c323.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.14035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over73c303.7$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.033167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c298.66$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6613142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7031backed Over63c246.16$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.083100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Over69c244.37$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under30c223.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0528931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over71c221.49$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.238965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over70c214.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.34969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Under30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…81dabacked Over68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd659…17a4backed Over58c172.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over70c165.71$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.713458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…d438backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55a4…9206backed Over50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over58c138.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1715648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over56c137.08$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0715042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under23c128.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.625215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over60c127.08$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.083542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under27c122.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.476355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over70c116.3$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.32871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under30c111.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2124849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over75c110$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under35c107.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0224955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over56c107.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5410951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83fc…2bedbacked Under70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd283…51ecbacked Under31c98.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Under76c97.23$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.452330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x266e…60cbbacked Over70c89.43$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.83366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a8b…4f55backed Under32c89.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Over70c88.01$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over70c85.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7133144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under34c85.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3415045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under28c80.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over62c80.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.48748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.83956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.644070%28 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over72c77.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8420841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over62c77.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.066448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Under55c72.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403129%9 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa178…e4bdbacked Under40c66.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under31c64.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.874042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over63c60.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.244656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e5…260cbacked Over46c60.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.82250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.67544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Over69c58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.982272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+74.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over71c55.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9515253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7805…ead7backed Over70c55.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.713461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over54c55.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Over62c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.792751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over59c46.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.261361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over66c45.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.146768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Under51c44.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over68c42.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7423353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Under32c41.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.292646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under57c38.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.089754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over61c36.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.432433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.