Serie A · resolved market
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe700ea7f5654fdadd4644a94d1539e051e647608311f7bacacb6a7753982e14e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Genoa CFCof AC Milan, Genoa CFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 51,950$32,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,072.49 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked AC Milan | 37c | 49,097$18,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,165.97 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed AC Milan | 38c | 13,184$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed AC Milan | 37c | 10,736$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 8,100$5,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 5,024$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.71 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 4,738$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.42 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Genoa CFC | 61c | 4,733$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.04 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Genoa CFC | 69c | 3,951$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.81 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AC Milan | 35c | 2,666$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.6 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Genoa CFC | 62c | 2,326$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 2,192$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.43 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked AC Milan | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed AC Milan | 38c | 1,700$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.51 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AC Milan | 18c | 1,601$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.24 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed AC Milan | 42c | 1,432$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked AC Milan | 37c | 1,405$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.71 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed AC Milan | 37c | 1,382$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed AC Milan | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Genoa CFC | 72c | 1,058$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.78 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AC Milan | 39c | 1,058$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked AC Milan | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked AC Milan | 36c | 962.19$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.39 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed AC Milan | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Genoa CFC | 66c | 824.81$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.71 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked AC Milan | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Genoa CFC | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 522.74$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.87 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked AC Milan | 38c | 519.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Genoa CFC | 63c | 502.8$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 433.51$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed AC Milan | 38c | 399.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked AC Milan | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 376.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed AC Milan | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed AC Milan | 24c | 313.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked AC Milan | 37c | 310.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed AC Milan | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…5665backed Genoa CFC | 65c | 298.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176c…089ebacked AC Milan | 38c | 282.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked AC Milan | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed AC Milan | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 259.32$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked AC Milan | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd716…bad1backed AC Milan | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked AC Milan | 7c | 224.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed AC Milan | 38c | 221.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked AC Milan | 38c | 220.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed AC Milan | 39c | 209.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Genoa CFC | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed AC Milan | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 195.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed AC Milan | 21c | 190.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked AC Milan | 39c | 185.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 183.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Genoa CFC | 66c | 180.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed AC Milan | 37c | 168.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed AC Milan | 7c | 164.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed AC Milan | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Genoa CFC | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Genoa CFC | 64c | 153.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked AC Milan | 37c | 149.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked AC Milan | 32c | 141.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed AC Milan | 38c | 134.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked AC Milan | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed AC Milan | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked AC Milan | 14c | 118.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed AC Milan | 33c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked AC Milan | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked AC Milan | 14c | 104.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked AC Milan | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…d0e7backed AC Milan | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked AC Milan | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed AC Milan | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed AC Milan | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed AC Milan | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed AC Milan | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 93.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda8c…47eabacked AC Milan | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…77b9backed AC Milan | 18c | 88.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked AC Milan | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Genoa CFC | 62c | 79.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…3528backed Genoa CFC | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed AC Milan | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Genoa CFC | 60c | 75.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…8168backed AC Milan | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…e4bdbacked Genoa CFC | 69c | 73.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed AC Milan | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed AC Milan | 16c | 68.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed AC Milan | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked AC Milan | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 65.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…1c24backed Genoa CFC | 63c | 60.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…d582backed Genoa CFC | 65c | 59.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Genoa CFC | 63c | 56.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked AC Milan | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)this page
- AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.