TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Genoa CFCof AC Milan, Genoa CFC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Genoa CFC63c51,950$32,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,072.492,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked AC Milan37c49,097$18,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,165.972839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed AC Milan38c13,184$5,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0109350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed AC Milan37c10,736$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.531650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Genoa CFC63c8,100$5,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,02745547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Genoa CFC63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.993357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Genoa CFC63c5,024$3,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.714463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Genoa CFC63c4,738$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.4214142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Genoa CFC61c4,733$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.0422348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Genoa CFC69c3,951$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.811,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Genoa CFC63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.983650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed AC Milan35c2,666$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Genoa CFC62c2,326$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.85580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+92.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Genoa CFC63c2,192$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.4338744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked AC Milan37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed AC Milan38c1,700$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.5122947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked AC Milan18c1,601$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed AC Milan42c1,432$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked AC Milan37c1,405$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.712218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed AC Milan37c1,382$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.381833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed AC Milan37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Genoa CFC72c1,058$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.784656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked AC Milan39c1,058$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked AC Milan38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked AC Milan36c962.19$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.3936630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed AC Milan38c921.05$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Genoa CFC66c824.81$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked AC Milan38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Genoa CFC64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22513137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Genoa CFC63c522.74$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8716448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked AC Milan38c519.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Genoa CFC63c502.8$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.042240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Genoa CFC63c433.51$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1616048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed AC Milan38c399.97$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked AC Milan39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Genoa CFC63c376.98$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed AC Milan38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed AC Milan24c313.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked AC Milan37c310.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed AC Milan37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11123353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee54…5665backed Genoa CFC65c298.59$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.542450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x176c…089ebacked AC Milan38c282.78$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked AC Milan37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed AC Milan38c263$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.944261.9%26 W · 16 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed Genoa CFC63c259.32$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.953452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked AC Milan39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd716…bad1backed AC Milan11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked AC Milan7c224.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.755215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed AC Milan38c221.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked AC Milan38c220.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.935841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed AC Milan39c209.38$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.366540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Genoa CFC66c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed AC Milan38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c79…1bd5backed Genoa CFC63c195.24$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed AC Milan21c190.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.424849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked AC Milan39c185.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.482748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed Genoa CFC63c183.95$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.412770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Genoa CFC66c180.59$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1524955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed AC Milan37c168.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.419353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed AC Milan7c164.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9636852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed AC Milan37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Genoa CFC59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.619652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Genoa CFC64c153.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1311337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked AC Milan37c149.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.155745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked AC Milan32c141.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4917538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed AC Milan38c134.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked AC Milan38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed AC Milan39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked AC Milan14c118.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.664032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed AC Milan33c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.583225%8 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked AC Milan38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked AC Milan14c104.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked AC Milan39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac70…d0e7backed AC Milan39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked AC Milan40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed AC Milan38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed AC Milan38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed AC Milan40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed AC Milan37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Genoa CFC63c93.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda8c…47eabacked AC Milan19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x385e…77b9backed AC Milan18c88.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.891450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Genoa CFC63c84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.151866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked AC Milan37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Genoa CFC63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Genoa CFC62c79.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.161457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x610a…3528backed Genoa CFC64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+69.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed AC Milan39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Genoa CFC60c75.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3414452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe970…8168backed AC Milan40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…e4bdbacked Genoa CFC69c73.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed AC Milan38c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.613350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed AC Milan16c68.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1111529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed AC Milan37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked AC Milan38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Genoa CFC63c65.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.959754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d9…1c24backed Genoa CFC63c60.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9087…d582backed Genoa CFC65c59.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Genoa CFC63c56.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8433144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked AC Milan38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.