Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c8c04ab479e09af95318349d1e316a599d07df2ad10cb13082fdd7fc6d545c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 7,272$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.74 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 53c | 2,800$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 40c | 1,964$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked No | 62c | 1,468$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 1,216$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.02 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 60c | 941.57$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.94 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 38c | 900$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes | 41c | 546.34$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 59c | 382.93$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.93 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…91a1backed Yes | 41c | 311.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…6f45backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Yes | 37c | 269.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 41c | 244.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 44c | 240.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…c3d5backed No | 61c | 240$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 49c | 231.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Yes | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 41c | 207.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 73c | 206.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 59c | 188.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.46 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Yes | 62c | 177.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…6ab2backed No | 59c | 155$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…74dabacked Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 66c | 124.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 48c | 122.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 41c | 119.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 53c | 113.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 40c | 112.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 58c | 109.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Yes | 43c | 107.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked Yes | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 32c | 96.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 32c | 88.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 33c | 87.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Yes | 70c | 86.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Yes | 43c | 76.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…74efbacked Yes | 41c | 65.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 60c | 64.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 58c | 59.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked No | 68c | 58.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…dfc7backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…38fcbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…dc70backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…71c9backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes | 41c | 49.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked No | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 56c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 40.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 39c | 37.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1011…c067backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…d6a5backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 70c | 30.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…dcaabacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 64c | 15.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c3…a901backed Yes | 79c | 15.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.