Bundesliga · resolved market

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x016ec52fe4cc818f0a2d1fded81ef002ca61b92cc2a8ced2cf13832c9ce7ebd4

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,391 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under	51c	14,999$7,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,349.63	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	49c	5,462$2,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,660	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over	49c	3,959$1,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,927.19	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Over	49c	2,816$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	50c	2,734$1,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,366.81	166	52.4%87 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	49c	2,538$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.56	550	58.7%323 W · 227 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	50c	2,432$1,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.36	283	45.2%128 W · 155 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	56c	2,000$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under	50c	1,700$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	56c	1,225$692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.58	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	42c	1,190$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.48	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over	50c	1,182$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	49c	1,143$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.1	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	47c	1,111$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.83	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under	51c	1,015$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.31	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	386	46.9%181 W · 205 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over	49c	912.24$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over	49c	880.54$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.47	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under	51c	775.51$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under	40c	750.13$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.13	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	49c	693.87$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	264	45.5%120 W · 144 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	50c	680$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under	53c	600$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	51c	454.35$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.14	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under	51c	407.85$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.85	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	51c	399.88$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.94	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	50c	337$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.5	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	25c	325$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.75	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over	45c	305$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.75	73	28.8%21 W · 52 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	57c	236.53$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.99	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Over	50c	203.54$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.77	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	48c	199.99$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	49c	199.5$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.76	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under	40c	192.5$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.5	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	56c	184.57$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.8	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	64cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	22c	128.64$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.95	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Under	50c	125.59$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.39	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x240c…4c62backed Over	51c	120$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	50c	104.61$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.3	330	47.3%156 W · 174 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	53c	100.98$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.46	624	52.6%328 W · 296 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	55c	90.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.94	531	40.7%216 W · 315 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	50c	87$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.5	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	45c	86$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.3	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	49c	75.43$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.96	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under	50c	72.72$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.36	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	49c	70.02$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.31	213	55.4%118 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	49c	63$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.87	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	50c	62.3$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.15	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over	49c	62.24$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.54	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Under	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+4.0wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5c4…2853backed Under	43c	58.68$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	26cpaid	+779.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	50c	58.23$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.32	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over	49c	57.23$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-6.2wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	49c	56.89$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.88	179	30.2%54 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under	56c	55.41$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.45	73	65.8%48 W · 25 L	+8.5wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7bee…7057backed Under	53c	52.73$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.73	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.1wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+157.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under	44c	52.27$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.27	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+8.1wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over	49c	51.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.35	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under	51c	51.03$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	491	43.2%212 W · 279 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over	55c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.25	174	56.9%99 W · 75 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa9e…2264backed Over	49c	49.12$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under	50c	45.03$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.52	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Over	50c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	38c	43.21$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	147	55.8%82 W · 65 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over	49c	40.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over	51c	39.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-4.9wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd173…bfaebacked Over	47c	37.66$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Over	29c	37.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d40…7b78backed Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over	49c	35.07$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48c2…2effbacked Over	47c	32.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Over	49c	32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66d9…3146backed Under	52c	26.92$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7dc…460fbacked Over	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Over	50c	24.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf5…4145backed Over	49c	24.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Over	50c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over	51c	22.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under	50c	22.7$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.35	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Over	49c	20.84$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over	49c	20.76$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over	50c	20.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5this page
Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)SV Werder Bremen won
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)SV Werder Bremen won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5Under won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5Under won
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event