TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7dc…460f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$10.43
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.68
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.4
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$30.94
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$17.49
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.34
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.46
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.87
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)backed Nashville SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.14
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.79
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$35.86
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$29.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.07
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.