MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1bd432f5a302f9fe5c63f4ee9b6f7739ecefa15bcc042fdfb7fa210eb3e6e27

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Chicago Cubsof Cincinnati Reds, Chicago Cubs
Resolved: May 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $429,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $442,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,916 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcd36…a8acbacked Chicago Cubs	66c	28,631$19,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,603.81	127	54.3%69 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de3…a1fabacked Chicago Cubs	28c	20,879$5,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,989.22	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-26%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds	60c	18,475$11,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,117.04	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Chicago Cubs	66c	15,671$10,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,336.57	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs	21c	14,509$3,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,433.59	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds	57c	13,417$7,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,694.33	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Cincinnati Reds	37c	13,384$4,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,937.75	488	50.2%245 W · 243 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds	53c	13,179$7,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,039.79	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Chicago Cubs	66c	12,320$8,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,188.78	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds	58c	12,198$7,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,106.6	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs	66c	11,091$7,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,770.93	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds	34c	10,000$3,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,349.99	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Cincinnati Reds	54c	9,901$5,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,305.86	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	9,000$3,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,015	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds	34c	8,824$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Chicago Cubs	65c	8,517$5,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,992.3	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	8,414$2,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,890.95	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Chicago Cubs	68c	7,997$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,597.11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Chicago Cubs	67c	7,507$5,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,446.84	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	5,099$1,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,757.61	1,289	47.2%609 W · 680 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs	37c	4,878$1,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,084.68	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Chicago Cubs	45c	4,256$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,356.43	141	34%48 W · 93 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Chicago Cubs	59c	4,166$2,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,707.94	310	39%121 W · 189 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs	36c	4,078$1,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,621.69	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Chicago Cubs	56c	3,958$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,757.86	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs	64c	3,594$2,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,289.46	1,865	52%970 W · 895 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	3,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	2,990$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.8	841	40.2%338 W · 503 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x171c…f0a0backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	2,941$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs	57c	2,922$1,678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.36	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cincinnati Reds	39c	2,507$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.1	2,545	45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds	37c	2,435$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.14	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs	44c	2,282$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270.12	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	2,222$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.48	1,010	48.1%486 W · 524 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds	36c	2,148$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.21	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	2,120$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.6	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3e…7d88backed Chicago Cubs	53c	2,088$1,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.45	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	2,039$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.72	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Chicago Cubs	65c	2,000$1,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704	147	24.5%36 W · 111 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Chicago Cubs	51c	1,977$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$966.52	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs	55c	1,959$1,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.11	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	1,875$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.41	146	47.3%69 W · 77 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	1,735$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.67	515	47%242 W · 273 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	1,609$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.06	174	52.9%92 W · 82 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	1,589$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.79	753	44.1%332 W · 421 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa049…b1b1backed Cincinnati Reds	38c	1,579$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Cincinnati Reds	50c	1,557$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.44	705	46.8%330 W · 375 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Cincinnati Reds	40c	1,469$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.64	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	1,397$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.05	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Cincinnati Reds	58c	1,379$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.57	1,141	42.9%490 W · 651 L	-37.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	1,180$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.6	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cincinnati Reds	37c	1,108$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	1,173	29%340 W · 833 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	1,057$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.39	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Chicago Cubs	67c	1,045$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.78	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds	33c	1,023$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.51	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	900$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	346	48.6%168 W · 178 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs	71c	858.31$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.91	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Chicago Cubs	37c	831.94$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.94	193	48.7%94 W · 99 L	+15.6wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+16%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Cincinnati Reds	52c	830$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.4	272	31.3%85 W · 187 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Chicago Cubs	57c	800$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	177	68.9%122 W · 55 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Cincinnati Reds	71c	790$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.29	475	89.1%423 W · 52 L	+84.9wins	+0.18per pick	71cpaid	+25%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Chicago Cubs	20c	766.69$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.35	111	25.2%28 W · 83 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	701.2$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.41	173	51.4%89 W · 84 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds	33c	688.21$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.47	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs	66c	681.82$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.82	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago Cubs	55c	605.24$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.73	852	35.8%305 W · 547 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs	41c	580.52$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.88	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds	54c	557.49$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.84	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Cincinnati Reds	42c	541.05$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.57	204	43.1%88 W · 116 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds	64c	525.24$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.5	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Cincinnati Reds	54c	497.6$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.34	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs	67c	497.51$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.18	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Chicago Cubs	66c	473$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.82	406	45.1%183 W · 223 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	462.47$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.57	371	43.9%163 W · 208 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Chicago Cubs	67c	437.93$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.52	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	434.51$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.23	677	42.2%286 W · 391 L	-36.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Cincinnati Reds	50c	431.65$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.03	289	52.6%152 W · 137 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Cincinnati Reds	35c	428.57$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	205	52.7%108 W · 97 L	+12.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Cincinnati Reds	59c	421.12$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.75	268	57.8%155 W · 113 L	+26.3wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Cincinnati Reds	13c	415.36$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.66	102	15.7%16 W · 86 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Cincinnati Reds	35c	414.74$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.99	111	41.4%46 W · 65 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago Cubs	25c	409.2$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.9	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	403.41$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.5	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cincinnati Reds	33c	400$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	398	50.3%200 W · 198 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	400$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Cincinnati Reds	51c	400$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	328	50.3%165 W · 163 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	391.17$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.5	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf3…101fbacked Cincinnati Reds	34c	390.61$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.81	332	41.3%137 W · 195 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	388.24$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago Cubs	56c	374.71$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.34	609	41.4%252 W · 357 L	-22.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Chicago Cubs	30c	369.52$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.52	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Chicago Cubs	57c	365.79$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.4	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Cincinnati Reds	37c	355.2$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.08	199	34.2%68 W · 131 L	-9.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Chicago Cubs	67c	350.75$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.75	107	62.6%67 W · 40 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	350$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.5	446	43.3%193 W · 253 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	328.93$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.53	253	51.8%131 W · 122 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds	46c	323.99$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.01	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Cubs	43c	309.99$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.65	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Chicago Cubs	56c	308$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.52	873	52.7%460 W · 413 L	+9.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cincinnati Reds	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	275	52.4%144 W · 131 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event