MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6041113203715d875c3f5589211486193bcc08810265707e813170f1d327cc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $272,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 149,186$73,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,482.34 | 554 | 53.2%295 W · 259 L | +22.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…4830backed Under | 51c | 115,932$59,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,449.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 102,241$52,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,187.75 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 28,838$14,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,040.64 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 18,923$9,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,024.12 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 6,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 4,886$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.24 | 1,305 | 50.2%655 W · 650 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 4,237$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.26 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 49c | 3,233$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.17 | 1,924 | 53.4%1,028 W · 896 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 3,108$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.84 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,083 | 48.1%521 W · 562 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 2,921$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.32 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 53c | 2,787$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.62 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 36c | 2,557$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.94 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 51c | 2,275$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.51 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 2,252$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.87 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 2,251$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.41 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 2,234$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.42 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 1,243$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.7 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 1,048$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,014$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.36 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 997.67$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.91 | 1,593 | 48.6%774 W · 819 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Under | 50c | 902.64$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.32 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 3c | 875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 50c | 767.92$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.17 | 659 | 49.2%324 W · 335 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 26c | 741.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 596$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.12 | 1,543 | 48.6%750 W · 793 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 51c | 494.06$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 53c | 474.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 436.73$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 71c | 414.18$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 3c | 409.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…c4e0backed Under | 52c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Under | 56c | 400$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Over | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Over | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Over | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 350.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Over | 3c | 320$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 50c | 314.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.41 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 51c | 292.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.23 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 51c | 285.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 277.16$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 255.9$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 1,044 | 48.9%511 W · 533 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Under | 51c | 245.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.34 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 29c | 211.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 49c | 210.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 850 | 40.2%342 W · 508 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 208.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1,448 | 50%724 W · 724 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 77c | 203.63$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 48c | 201.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 74c | 192.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Over | 50c | 192.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 44c | 189.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 51c | 174.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 25c | 140.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Over | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 12c | 134$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 127.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 51c | 125.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 122.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed Over | 50c | 121.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Under | 53c | 115.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 51c | 114.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 51c | 101.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 50c | 100.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…0841backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 323 | 66.3%214 W · 109 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 48c | 92.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Over | 51c | 90.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 315 | 52.4%165 W · 150 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 43c | 88.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Under | 74c | 84.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 53c | 82.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…88f2backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Over | 49c | 79.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Under | 51c | 77.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Over | 23c | 73.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 50c | 72.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…1aabbacked Over | 50c | 65.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Over | 48c | 63.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.