South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd603c5db5523603166b40319f54b5f0dfd2494db32f8187495122d6fc996cc88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 25c | 14,999$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 7,724$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 75c | 5,255$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.75 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 613.75$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 377.67$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 28c | 354.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 75c | 244$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 207.29$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 75c | 179.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 78c | 142.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 87.73$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 72.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 67.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 75c | 66.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 75c | 56.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 75c | 50.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 75c | 46.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 24c | 41.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 37.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked No | 75c | 34.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…4761backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 75c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…460fbacked No | 75c | 25.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 23.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 75c | 22.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 73c | 20.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 75c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Peñarol end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-04-30?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.