CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba7ce03098bf8f32b9237c031e6baa8f6271b38d329088075e039c209b7cc249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof Rebels Gaming, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked Rebels Gaming | 71c | 3,102$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.53 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…4ce8backed HAVU | 65c | 1,550$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rebels Gaming | 58c | 983.05$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.62 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed HAVU | 42c | 729.61$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.39 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Rebels Gaming | 58c | 344.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed HAVU | 42c | 342.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed HAVU | 47c | 325$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed HAVU | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…cdfebacked HAVU | 47c | 299.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed HAVU | 50c | 281.44$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed HAVU | 18c | 263.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HAVU | 42c | 253.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Rebels Gaming | 74c | 246.01$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 237.74$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed HAVU | 21c | 226$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed HAVU | 24c | 218$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed HAVU | 37c | 217.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed HAVU | 26c | 217.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU | 39c | 210.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…abb3backed HAVU | 37c | 206.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HAVU | 40c | 205.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Rebels Gaming | 66c | 189.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed HAVU | 19c | 187$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed HAVU | 22c | 179.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Rebels Gaming | 48c | 159.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed HAVU | 24c | 146$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed HAVU | 34c | 145.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Rebels Gaming | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 135.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Rebels Gaming | 46c | 128.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Rebels Gaming | 53c | 103.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Rebels Gaming | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Rebels Gaming | 15c | 88.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rebels Gaming | 53c | 76.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed HAVU | 46c | 75.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Rebels Gaming | 17c | 65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked HAVU | 50c | 51.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Rebels Gaming | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…4da1backed Rebels Gaming | 68c | 48.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Rebels Gaming | 42c | 45.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed HAVU | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked HAVU | 49c | 40.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked HAVU | 52c | 39.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 40c | 34.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…460fbacked HAVU | 50c | 34.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed HAVU | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Rebels Gaming | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerRebels Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.