Asian League · resolved market
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x137a07a40c862c48fa20e4bf0903615799188d89173bc6a02ef8f36908f75c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 6,677$4,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 18c | 3,329$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 41c | 3,137$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.28 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 47c | 1,360$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Over | 47c | 1,360$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 17c | 1,036$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 47c | 957.48$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 47c | 870.21$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 750.15$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.57 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Under | 56c | 655.17$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 653.31$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 627.55$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under | 54c | 619.45$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 575.04$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.95 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 48c | 464.88$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.14 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 46c | 421.83$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 46c | 379.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…b741backed Under | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 44c | 299.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.92 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 53c | 293.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 287.69$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 58c | 282.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 46c | 253.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 47c | 210.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Under | 67c | 143.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 132.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Over | 19c | 131$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 46c | 99.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 52c | 89.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…8b04backed Over | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 48c | 60.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 66c | 59.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 66c | 58.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Under | 68c | 45.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 52c | 37.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 52c | 37.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 52c | 37.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…460fbacked Over | 40c | 35.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 67c | 30.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 71c | 29.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 28.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 52c | 28.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…6751backed Under | 56c | 28.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 25.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 52c | 25.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 23.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 21.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 55c | 18.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…7be7backed Under | 56c | 18.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5this page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.