MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16a2ceeccdb78110e45fb9f564a4c238ffa2b969c2f8971ef558598d06325acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Houston Astros, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 137,526$72,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,637 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Houston Astros | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Houston Astros | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 14,980$8,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,497.01 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 10,001$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700.37 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 0c | 6,800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 46c | 6,091$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 18c | 5,794$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.05 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Houston Astros | 45c | 5,497$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.43 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 4,329$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.63 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 4,300$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 4,113$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.11 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,667$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.67 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 3,327$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.41 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 3,300$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Houston Astros | 13c | 3,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Houston Astros | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 23c | 2,950$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.09 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 18c | 2,755$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.13 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,688$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.39 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 47c | 2,265$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.74 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 2,168$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.16 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed Houston Astros | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,879$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Astros | 16c | 1,837$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.61 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 34c | 1,554$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.56 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Boston Red Sox | 76c | 1,464$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.89 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,400$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Houston Astros | 18c | 1,278$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Houston Astros | 47c | 999.4$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.72 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros | 17c | 997.02$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 980.24$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.71 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 968.09$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Houston Astros | 18c | 949.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 23c | 888.68$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Houston Astros | 11c | 766.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 46c | 700.34$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.24 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 22c | 680.1$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 23c | 632.54$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 66c | 559.93$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 550.92$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 542.73$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Houston Astros | 51c | 538$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.38 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 470$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 457.98$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.1 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 385$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.95 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Houston Astros | 24c | 381.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 72c | 380.22$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 358.03$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Houston Astros | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 286.57$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 285$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Houston Astros | 18c | 280.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…ab00backed Houston Astros | 9c | 279.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Houston Astros | 19c | 272.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 269.01$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Houston Astros | 23c | 255.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 244.52$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 241.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 209.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 204.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 203.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Houston Astros | 47c | 202.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 61c | 190$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 7c | 189.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 170.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 167.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Houston Astros | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 154.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 149.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 142.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Houston Astros | 16c | 140.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 137.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 125.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Boston Red Sox | 77c | 124.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Boston Red Sox | 78c | 112.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Houston Astros | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 880 | 45.1%397 W · 483 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 101.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Houston Astros | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Houston Astros | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.