Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Maria Timofeeva vs Adelina Lachinova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x157309f5bc28b4227e93572b484bed9472f0aad31eecc31557aabc4b7429b054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Timofeevaof Maria Timofeeva, Adelina Lachinova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Adelina Lachinova | 7c | 10,311$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.03 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Adelina Lachinova | 9c | 2,691$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Adelina Lachinova | 7c | 2,597$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.78 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Adelina Lachinova | 13c | 2,155$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adelina Lachinova | 4c | 1,750$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Adelina Lachinova | 8c | 1,239$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Adelina Lachinova | 6c | 1,120$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Adelina Lachinova | 14c | 1,084$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Adelina Lachinova | 16c | 782.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Adelina Lachinova | 7c | 642.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Adelina Lachinova | 14c | 591.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Adelina Lachinova | 4c | 503.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Adelina Lachinova | 11c | 307.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Adelina Lachinova | 13c | 296$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Adelina Lachinova | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Adelina Lachinova | 9c | 190.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed Adelina Lachinova | 8c | 184.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…5b17backed Adelina Lachinova | 10c | 181.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Adelina Lachinova | 15c | 167.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…460fbacked Adelina Lachinova | 8c | 158.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Adelina Lachinova | 10c | 153.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Adelina Lachinova | 15c | 100.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Adelina Lachinova | 13c | 94.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…4e39backed Adelina Lachinova | 13c | 86.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Adelina Lachinova | 17c | 71.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Adelina Lachinova | 17c | 71.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.