South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Tolima vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a0ebcefa86d2b11e427d045f2d278fb1f2bff00e2f37114ebbb9d79544c2682
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 39c | 16,105$6,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,824.29 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 13,131$8,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,221.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.06 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 3,125$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.25 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 61c | 2,040$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.4 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 61c | 1,185$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.85 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 873.55$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.87 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 808.39$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 347.7$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 61c | 325$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 61c | 325$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 56c | 231.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 61c | 229$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Over | 44c | 227.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 61c | 225$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 206$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 13c | 179.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 60c | 150$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 61c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 61c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Under | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 88.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 40c | 76.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 29c | 63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 61c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 59c | 57.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…e2a0backed Under | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 71c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 64c | 51.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…1e72backed Over | 21c | 48.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Under | 61c | 41.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…dfaebacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 61c | 32.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…460fbacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0d…c27bbacked Over | 40c | 29.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…f761backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…7339backed Under | 63c | 23.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tolima vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Tolima vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Tolima vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Tolima vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CD Tolima (-1.5)CD Tolima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.