South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044b97c8fabe7da5174924168f88e03fe2621600037e67e17b6689d2f9280ec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CS Independiente Rivadaviaof Fluminense FC, CS Independiente Rivadavia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 10,743$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.02 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Fluminense FC | 30c | 6,867$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 3,797$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.1 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Fluminense FC | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.93 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 1,979$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 1,750$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.92 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 1,354$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 73c | 721.45$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.68 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Fluminense FC | 17c | 653.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 66c | 577.85$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 65c | 577.85$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 66c | 577.85$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Fluminense FC | 34c | 565.65$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 499.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Fluminense FC | 30c | 450$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Fluminense FC | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 399.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 397.79$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 397.79$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 397.79$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 397.79$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 397.79$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 375.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 283.34$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Fluminense FC | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Fluminense FC | 30c | 249.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Fluminense FC | 18c | 230.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 180.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 165.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 152.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 150.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 149.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 147.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 145.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Fluminense FC | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 99.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Fluminense FC | 31c | 98.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 96.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Fluminense FC | 35c | 90.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 65c | 89.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Fluminense FC | 31c | 76.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 74.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Fluminense FC | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 67.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 57.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 56.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Fluminense FC | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Fluminense FC | 35c | 44.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Fluminense FC | 35c | 44.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 30.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 51c | 30.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…e55dbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…de4bbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 25.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…460fbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 24.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 23.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…e23ebacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 20.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed CS Independiente Rivadavia | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…9e6abacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 69c | 17.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 70c | 16.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 65c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f4fdbacked CS Independiente Rivadavia | 72c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)this page
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.