South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8eb4b3d349d81c7edd3f0392d3244edc9d1d23c3bfcd21109a33c686547e47d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 44c | 22,995$10,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,887.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 56c | 5,897$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.08 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5b…a75bbacked Over | 70c | 4,418$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 47c | 3,684$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.1 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 56c | 2,960$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.82 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 1,946$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 56c | 1,750$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 1,715$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 43c | 1,024$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.72 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 906.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 56c | 781.8$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.81 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 616.13$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.2 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Under | 56c | 520.42$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.1 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 50c | 306.52$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 57c | 303$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 39c | 289.49$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 234$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 219$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 219$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 219$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 199.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 192.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 158.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 56c | 146.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 131.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 130.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 56c | 129.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…9d42backed Under | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 25c | 103.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 23c | 67.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 62c | 64.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 42c | 56.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…7203backed Over | 43c | 44.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…0983backed Over | 49c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 57c | 30.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…f58bbacked Under | 48c | 24.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 78c | 22.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 56c | 19.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 56c | 18.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 60c | 16.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.