South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd60d0b86256a11cc5b5340a7c875f664ce88c2a650ef611e04c66c21b7e166d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 6,529$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5b…a75bbacked Over | 64c | 4,910$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 20c | 1,777$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.29 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,477$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 1,468$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.58 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 48c | 1,423$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.22 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 560.15$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.05 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 478.3$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.52 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 18c | 330.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 330.54$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 234.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 27c | 199.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…f46dbacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 60c | 131.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 79c | 129.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 18c | 128.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 21c | 106.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 21c | 106.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 65c | 105.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Under | 55c | 100.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Under | 79c | 99.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Under | 41c | 48.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 52c | 46.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 29c | 46.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 30c | 37.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 53c | 31.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 71c | 28.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…0983backed Under | 51c | 25.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…45febacked Under | 80c | 25.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Over | 64c | 23.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 44c | 23.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 53c | 22.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Over | 59c | 21.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Over | 65c | 18.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 59c | 17.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.