TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes58c38,204$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,000850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c26,967$11,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,397.021,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes58c26,015$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0003525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes55c22,000$12,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,099.741650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,80012132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.956240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No43c8,700$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9595442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed No46c8,600$3,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,613.97656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No43c7,010$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,995.634938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No44c6,834$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,834.251947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c6,331$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,116.074,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes54c6,089$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.51,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes2c5,837$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes54c5,555$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.675246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes55c5,104$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.8115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.919443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No44c4,885$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,723.8922448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed No63c3,492$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.48875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes57c2,976$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.128246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c2,921$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.412,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes54c2,689$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.9749447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No45c2,623$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.652060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3506051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes19c2,482$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c2,413$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.323,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.865141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.0516740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked No44c2,139$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.642070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3de3…2fc5backed No43c2,100$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Yes54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0805853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No70c2,000$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.893850%19 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes55c1,935$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.251838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked No52c1,922$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.111159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Yes55c1,858$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.021675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+55.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.186672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No56c1,816$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.4483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No43c1,809$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.041844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked No43c1,760$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.23946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No45c1,662$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.94922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No45c1,300$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.9618650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes3c1,271$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1221322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes55c1,156$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.4322446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes54c1,132$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.375750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No42c1,108$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.627936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5947851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes55c1,009$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5553060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No43c938.9$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.6735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No53c936.41$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.4120843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed No54c888.89$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.893250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No43c864.86$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.7564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes55c863.64$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47510938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No63c829.93$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.1218956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No44c813.55$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c799.43$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.71,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No43c650.4$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.736746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1a1…e4f8backed Yes46c630.65$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes4c625$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c617.12$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9369750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No46c614.81$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1410168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf63…ba76backed Yes49c610.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97f1…0f6bbacked Yes56c599.96$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No43c594.99$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.2889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No43c594.97$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.271,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No46c552$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.081866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea4c…2cf2backed No46c552$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes55c545.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9913445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Yes58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfde5…676cbacked Yes55c508$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28516149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e78…ea76backed Yes55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes55c500$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9623843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Yes54c495.74$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+54.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No53c464$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.087447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Yes57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes45c431.8$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.622133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No45c426.88$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.783351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No45c399.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes57c387.72$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22122335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes55c363.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9911252.7%59 W · 53 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No44c356.72$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No43c354$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.782441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No43c347.39$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes49c308.82$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.45230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes55c304$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.21625%4 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118432.1%27 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16517159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f8…5d56backed No52c291.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No45c289.87$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.433630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No55c285.09$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.294443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes57c280.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.