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La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes26c15,537$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No50c6,443$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.492443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c4,458$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.161,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c3,652$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.754,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7508160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c2,867$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.922,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c2,526$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.111,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No76c1,970$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.815959.1%94 W · 65 L-0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes48c1,936$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.474346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes36c1,871$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.3493345.3%423 W · 510 L-30.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes2c1,348$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.14738.3%18 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No68c1,292$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.423773%27 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes24c1,227$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No75c1,210$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.1220055.5%111 W · 89 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No76c1,097$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.1610666%70 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No54c934$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.646160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c886.05$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5172455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No62c806.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.652365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c800$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20480950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c773$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7486250.2%433 W · 429 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023453%124 W · 110 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c703.95$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1974949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f7…aef9backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed No73c495.15$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.591376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+55.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes25c409.2$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.37324.7%18 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes25c401.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.299038.9%35 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes24c307.66$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7616936.1%61 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No68c296.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.075166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes23c285.58$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.689747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes25c270.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5611342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c251.02$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4565652.6%345 W · 311 L-1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e2d…5116backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes13c204.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.792729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c8…6327backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af0…fdf5backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c184.1$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.231,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3917159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.547749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No70c149.9$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8821950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No72c135$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4517841.6%74 W · 104 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes24c132.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.912842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.927441.2%113 W · 161 L+15.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No75c129.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3323843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes25c125.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.934841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3027752.7%146 W · 131 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No48c117.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2161048%293 W · 317 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes15c117.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1824048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c101.51$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3895054.2%515 W · 435 L+1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2618458.2%107 W · 77 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2562744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5937348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…6829backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42a6…0d41backed Yes25c99.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed No55c98.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.181877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No75c82.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6174350.2%373 W · 370 L+18.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202015%3 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes26c76.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205427.8%15 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No74c75.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.411055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.535442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No65c67.19$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6963558%368 W · 267 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes28c66.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.27623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed Yes25c64.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.243036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-48.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No74c60.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.953268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1159…6228backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No76c55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.212958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes38c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.143333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes52c52.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.42352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes51c52.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8423857.1%136 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes44c52.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.523455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1440…8cf8backed No48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52119%4 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…1279backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No71c46.4$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.247153.5%38 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44065%26 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes24c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked No76c44.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.732352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No76c41.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.075158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed No49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fd…610fbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x235b…af09backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x101d…c861backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a1…e4f8backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.