TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over46c7,870$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.6511848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under53c7,057$3,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,734.4296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under18c5,985$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.711,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Over48c5,836$2,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over66c3,541$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.966100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Over46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c1,327$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.9352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under51c1,275$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65033357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Over45c1,262$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a5f…7014backed Over46c1,190$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under34c1,056$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Over80c999.59$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.922245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over45c987.89$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.892060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Under33c924.84$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.333030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c845.99$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.762,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under34c774.33$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8431051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over48c728.57$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.862470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5031…9802backed Over69c674.99$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under53c629.95$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8522947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c538.07$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21625556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.638242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21618459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under14c352.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9314936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under56c321.43$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over66c307.86$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.291764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16212540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16216851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under54c240$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.615847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over47c231.22$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.538863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over45c222.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.672860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over46c219.13$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3311547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.398042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over46c208.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.72254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under55c203$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.651553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under54c199.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6412048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over70c181.54$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.467544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over75c180$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under14c176$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.646439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over45c161$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5512452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under23c157.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.346050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over68c146.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.158065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over45c140.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.951717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under57c124.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over45c109.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.198550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Over47c106.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.391729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under11c105.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.15215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over48c103.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.119436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a69…7b8fbacked Over48c100.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+118%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.854776.6%36 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…6016backed Under17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under57c98.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9938744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under12c94.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3811546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…e304backed Under53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over46c90.46$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8521650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Over47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.71729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over60c89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2528445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.963050%15 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9617538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Over46c84.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.55558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under32c83.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.824656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc34…799dbacked Over44c77.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Over67c74.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.353557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47d…2ad1backed Under55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under54c66.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9814452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2238739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8e7…6031backed Under23c60.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.722123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under55c59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under31c57.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.762944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Under54c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under54c52.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3612350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over49c51.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.085552.7%29 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.53259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.487950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over45c42.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.653066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e2…9ff7backed Under56c37.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c34.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over79c33.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9836852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over75c32.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0315844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf44e…eb5abacked Over46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2bf…ceeabacked Under57c32.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.5wins-0.50per pick64cpaid-77.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over67c30.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0411144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Over47c30.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+62.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.797245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7923353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.