TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over73c68,424$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,423.844566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under27c37,481$10,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,060.9793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under27c11,539$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095.4752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under29c9,865$2,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.7796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3503740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Under10c3,169$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.13030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over74c2,440$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.42867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under26c2,275$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.4333357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Over73c2,050$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under25c2,013$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.891,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under27c2,000$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54222947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Over68c1,543$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.1580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+185%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Over68c1,252$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.58977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under27c1,074$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9812452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under27c926$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.029652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under30c799.72$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8820827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under16c724.47$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.483675%27 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over73c711.12$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2810361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over71c704.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2315459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under29c519.98$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.794656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under30c516.67$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c481.2$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.52,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under30c466.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11225556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11218459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over67c390.18$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.767848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under28c383$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2628931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1111268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…81dabacked Over73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8412048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8416851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under26c299.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2523353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.517954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under27c274$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under28c240$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Over72c208.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over74c198.65$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.653458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over72c181.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.723066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over72c180.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.565251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over71c177$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.331464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ed…2b21backed Over71c158.44$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.951758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over70c143.66$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.113550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.219652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over73c130$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.12070%14 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.613650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.612350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7031backed Over72c107.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.153100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec8…4143backed Under28c93.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under28c85.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.842839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over71c84.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8615253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Over72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over72c81.37$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under28c80.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5914452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over68c77.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.942875%21 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over73c75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2511546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Over71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.752045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c2…6784backed Over72c70.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.831060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.426642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Under29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.01850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4917958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under28c58.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under28c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.122536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7517955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under28c47.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0156…588cbacked Over74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over73c38.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.525347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over72c38.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.761361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Under29c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Under29c36.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Under29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over72c34.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.78143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x266e…60cbbacked Over73c33.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x455c…1c25backed Over72c30.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…27fbbacked Over71c29.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick68cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd995…24dbbacked Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171080%8 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf5…4c25backed Over72c28.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c50…ab35backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa5…9cf3backed Over72c22.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.225100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc57d…3eeebacked Over73c21.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over73c21.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7814142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.