TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hellas Verona FCof SSC Napoli, Hellas Verona FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55a1…db28backed SSC Napoli46c27,917$12,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,842.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+60.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed SSC Napoli42c26,666$11,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,331.924658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hellas Verona FC54c25,000$13,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,624.9916045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Hellas Verona FC54c25,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,499.996347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hellas Verona FC56c15,421$8,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,810.552,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked SSC Napoli46c15,217$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed SSC Napoli47c12,766$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Hellas Verona FC54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed SSC Napoli46c7,014$3,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,237.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Hellas Verona FC65c6,178$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.7996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hellas Verona FC55c5,777$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.7345547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed SSC Napoli46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hellas Verona FC54c4,367$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.8452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hellas Verona FC53c2,893$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.622947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked SSC Napoli45c2,393$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked SSC Napoli43c2,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed SSC Napoli42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8404443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Hellas Verona FC53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9401747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed SSC Napoli45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.981637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed SSC Napoli46c1,595$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.613033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hellas Verona FC54c1,441$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.8637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked SSC Napoli46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Hellas Verona FC58c1,224$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.0814142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked SSC Napoli3c1,200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.378242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked SSC Napoli47c1,070$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.95747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed SSC Napoli46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4603366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae63…5e2dbacked SSC Napoli5c928.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked SSC Napoli46c863.34$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Hellas Verona FC54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36810152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked SSC Napoli46c666.67$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.322218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked SSC Napoli45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed SSC Napoli47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Hellas Verona FC55c526.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1512452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Hellas Verona FC57c499.8$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.74656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Hellas Verona FC54c460.88$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21416842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Hellas Verona FC55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5513137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked SSC Napoli46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed SSC Napoli47c425.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.731520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hellas Verona FC53c409.62$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5211848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Hellas Verona FC57c407$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.011050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Hellas Verona FC54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18425556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hellas Verona FC56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17618459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed SSC Napoli46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1843262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hellas Verona FC54c399.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18428556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked SSC Napoli46c386.96$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…b99bbacked SSC Napoli43c386.86$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hellas Verona FC56c377.03$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked SSC Napoli44c363.64$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked SSC Napoli45c363.2$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16310736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked SSC Napoli45c342.03$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Hellas Verona FC53c325$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.752138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed SSC Napoli46c321.74$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1483345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Hellas Verona FC54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13813648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Hellas Verona FC54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13812048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Hellas Verona FC54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13816851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Hellas Verona FC56c270$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hellas Verona FC52c262.81$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked SSC Napoli43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.54247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed SSC Napoli46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Hellas Verona FC54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.415847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed SSC Napoli42c236$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.299456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked SSC Napoli43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked SSC Napoli43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed SSC Napoli44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Hellas Verona FC54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.222955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked SSC Napoli45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed SSC Napoli48c220.56$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.723641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked SSC Napoli46c217.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814a…0dc5backed SSC Napoli46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed SSC Napoli47c212.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Hellas Verona FC54c210$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.62272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+74.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed SSC Napoli29c206.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed SSC Napoli47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked SSC Napoli48c195.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked SSC Napoli6c184.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.625215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Hellas Verona FC55c179.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.66055%33 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Hellas Verona FC56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Hellas Verona FC56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ee…6899backed Hellas Verona FC55c144.04$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Hellas Verona FC55c137.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.82330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked SSC Napoli46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603050%15 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…bfddbacked SSC Napoli46c128.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked SSC Napoli43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.69445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Hellas Verona FC54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.28948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Hellas Verona FC54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.213650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Hellas Verona FC56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.812350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked SSC Napoli24c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed SSC Napoli43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Hellas Verona FC55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.094264.3%27 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Hellas Verona FC55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.092055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed SSC Napoli46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed SSC Napoli43c103$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.293148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Hellas Verona FC54c102.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.091850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Hellas Verona FC54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed SSC Napoli46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed SSC Napoli46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked SSC Napoli47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Hellas Verona FC55c98.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0916448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Hellas Verona FC55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac70…d0e7backed SSC Napoli46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.