TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e60…98e1backed Under0c25,984$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c10,160$4,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.421,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over20c5,544$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,450.8196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Under4c5,337$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under64c5,183$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.724566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6803324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c3,420$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.0393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over36c3,310$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.4616045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over62c3,244$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over64c3,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.551353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.995158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under43c2,440$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.676245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under12c2,094$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.283119.4%6 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over53c1,843$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.4214351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under45c978.3$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.894656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c915.12$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.632,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60020827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under38c700.31$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.453740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over62c628.19$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.737254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2414748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0d…cce6backed Over70c574.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under4c567.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.587412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over73c537.26$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2610361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over50c456.77$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under34c440.52$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.937544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.785251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under41c406.37$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c405.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.831051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under53c400$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.428242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over71c394.61$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.627848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over60c379.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.66863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2211268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c314.52$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Over66c303.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.271747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23123353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over57c299.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over64c299.99$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10915450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under48c296.87$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.794146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under61c280$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.82944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1613142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Over25c251.74$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over29c241.07$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.878863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over51c223.53$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.533542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over23c218.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.536439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Under77c212$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.249456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8016842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15413550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over75c193.03$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.838065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c189.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7916340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under41c184.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7031backed Over71c179.32$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.763100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ed…2b21backed Over69c176.46$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.71758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over51c175.04$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.823050%15 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bbf…5a09backed Under6c174.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over42c166.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6611856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd716…bad1backed Over54c153.15$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.95922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over51c144.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.784738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over70c143.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.063860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Over48c130$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under45c126.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1223244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…2807backed Under50c123.05$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over23c120$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.49445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over23c120$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.49252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over23c120$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.412754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over23c120$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.48550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over24c119$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9814452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over64c116.32$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3219353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e7…6031backed Under44c104.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.82123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over47c103$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3428445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb018…8f4bbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over53c98.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.181656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1519436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over27c94.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.933259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc504…8cfebacked Over61c90.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47d…2ad1backed Over48c89.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over50c89.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2615238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over55c89.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.183458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Under76c85.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-46.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over71c69.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2285…4bf1backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Under50c66.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.343148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa919…b83fbacked Over68c66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under79c65.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.353167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.613839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under77c57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.892564%16 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over36c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.21850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4929…99d2backed Under40c54.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.911050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+72.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f88…d9adbacked Under49c51.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over44c50.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.235540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2515042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.156050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.517955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over59c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.56448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over44c49.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6620841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over51c49.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.185450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x132d…9480backed Under58c48.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6217538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.