TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over62c29,086$17,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,991.631526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under38c14,994$5,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,247.0233851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under38c13,543$5,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,356.1758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c9,535$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,934.111,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c4,141$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.471,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over60c2,885$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,73116144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Over69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3802045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee3…cfc9backed Under23c1,705$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.561225%3 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682e…d0b2backed Over70c1,442$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under42c1,308$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.6438043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d0…76a0backed Under12c1,014$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+470.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5905745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Over60c926.67$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5567542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c921.62$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.259441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c917.11$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.4420655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf17e…0bd6backed Under40c849.7$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.82560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+76.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over61c820.77$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.672161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under41c772.36$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.694759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under23c759.56$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.5737544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under73c757.78$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.182653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over66c747$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.826852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Over69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over60c699.33$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.64843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ed…42f5backed Under40c677.5$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under40c654.16$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.8710249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over76c634$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.91464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+172.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under34c537$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.4259136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over70c529$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2329142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under73c525.57$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2258650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Under40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.999444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under39c479.13$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.913931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over60c383.68$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under19c361$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.141643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under24c354.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0541238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Over63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1772740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17711152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.881520%3 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1868038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Over25c299.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over48c291.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Over60c262.16$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.32828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4f…0019backed Over60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under40c233.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.420644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over63c222.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e3…84bfbacked Under48c207.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over75c186.96$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.224427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Under54c183.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.732445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Under23c172.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9226144.4%116 W · 145 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.39653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10225659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e7b…0db9backed Over62c162.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under14c156.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.88977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+96.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over63c156.65$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.113455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under39c156.31$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.917334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under38c153$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8624047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over61c151.48$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.49841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdac…1cd5backed Under40c148.73$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac9…81a7backed Over40c146.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Over61c144.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over61c138$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.182572%18 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under41c129.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.938343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Over59c122.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.531442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under24c120$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.29246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under54c116.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7422356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over65c109.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.863743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over30c109.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5421745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Under65c107.77$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.773342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over61c106.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6521043.8%92 W · 118 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Under39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf548…9484backed Under17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332030%6 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605872.4%42 W · 16 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x07f9…f5fcbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6122647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404139%16 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under67c98.09$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.163935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under33c90.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7512450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504663%29 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under54c89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.941963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe4b…881fbacked Over61c83.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.