TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe4b…881f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$9.46
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$4.17
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.33
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.33
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+71.3%+$22.83
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.45
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$88
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$10
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+638.2%+$108.49
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$23.39
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$146.26
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+67.5%+$37.8
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$152.19
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+150%+$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-6.2wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-73.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.77
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.43
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.81
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$19.81
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.61
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.91
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.07
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+135%+$91.36
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$29.6
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50.84
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$28.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+97.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.