TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves70c18,133$12,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,449.8728955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves72c14,326$10,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,057.4752155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed LOUD30c11,145$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.6325554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOUD28c11,010$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.6719046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked 100 Thieves71c7,000$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.9878162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed LOUD30c6,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9919860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LOUD29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45026050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked LOUD28c4,824$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.611346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked 100 Thieves72c2,956$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.141566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed LOUD28c2,247$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.2133348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked LOUD29c1,719$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.3915342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed 100 Thieves70c1,514$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0911255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed LOUD30c1,465$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.458934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked LOUD29c1,359$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0711450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves76c1,353$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6635142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked 100 Thieves72c1,219$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.412653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked LOUD29c1,100$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31933153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed 100 Thieves71c1,082$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.693650%18 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed LOUD8c1,051$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6154342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb009…7a8ebacked LOUD6c1,034$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed 100 Thieves70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed 100 Thieves72c984.75$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.736040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1de…51afbacked LOUD30c954.3$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked 100 Thieves71c940.99$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed 100 Thieves73c892.08$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1126634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked LOUD28c887.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.6455152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed 100 Thieves78c787.34$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9835331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed LOUD10c722.73$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2733942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked LOUD29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed 100 Thieves72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4418056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e47…3475backed 100 Thieves71c672.24$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab7…afc0backed LOUD29c661.04$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked 100 Thieves70c605.44$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.634650%23 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed LOUD27c571.64$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed LOUD24c566.49$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6545250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed LOUD17c534.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9317332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed LOUD15c525.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.023641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LOUD29c520$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.84146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed 100 Thieves71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1453565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed 100 Thieves72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed 100 Thieves70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505149%25 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed 100 Thieves69c499.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15513642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed LOUD10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked LOUD28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14036648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked LOUD28c499.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed LOUD36c490$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.428247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed 100 Thieves71c477.3$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.421844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed LOUD8c467.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked LOUD29c440$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.613148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked LOUD29c405.31$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.546137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed 100 Thieves71c393.62$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1525556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked 100 Thieves72c375.14$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1413044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked 100 Thieves72c372.62$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9342140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0f7…aebbbacked LOUD29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked 100 Thieves72c322$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.162934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01fc…6972backed 100 Thieves72c321.92$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.143348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked LOUD29c320.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0217353.8%93 W · 80 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked LOUD29c320.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.026259.7%37 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed LOUD32c317.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2628541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…ef1dbacked LOUD28c314.29$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882737%10 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked 100 Thieves77c302.68$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.113759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked LOUD28c274.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9960154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed LOUD29c265.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777646.1%35 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d1…b0dabacked LOUD7c260.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7dd…12f0backed LOUD21c255.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.78043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed LOUD11c253.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7815931.4%50 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked LOUD10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x336c…9e25backed LOUD8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed LOUD29c240$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.628241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed LOUD29c229.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.71758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves65c228$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.299846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed 100 Thieves68c225.14$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4527947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed LOUD11c224.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4519439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed LOUD29c220$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.88646.5%40 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed 100 Thieves70c220$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663850%19 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed LOUD9c213.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked LOUD28c208$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2855637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578f…731fbacked LOUD29c204.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd42…3a86backed LOUD30c203.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed LOUD12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2323733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed LOUD6c199.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…dc5abacked LOUD14c198.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed 100 Thieves68c198$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.266438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves72c188.11$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.671,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3af…6da8backed 100 Thieves72c178.01$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LOUD15c173.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2556357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked LOUD11c169.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked LOUD30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f2…a029backed 100 Thieves67c165.76$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.763100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked 100 Thieves76c161.89$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5415833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked LOUD28c160$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.819943.7%87 W · 112 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f4…59eabacked LOUD8c154.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.713228.1%9 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+88.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed LOUD29c149.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.118948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49cc…16e3backed 100 Thieves72c149.74$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed LOUD28c148.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4719337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c19…ea4dbacked 100 Thieves80c144.54$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.93988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed LOUD29c142$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1811442.1%48 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb3…9e69backed LOUD29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked 100 Thieves72c137$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.