Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d0fcdc0db2bb4613d3bba74b23886d31007b5e7a5d0798af52755dc96e109e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 6,465$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LOUD | 35c | 4,915$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.67 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked LOUD | 35c | 680.01$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 584.42$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.06 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD | 36c | 525.86$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LOUD | 34c | 471.92$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.57 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 346.87$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed LOUD | 35c | 309.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed LOUD | 50c | 263.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 257.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked LOUD | 42c | 250.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed LOUD | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked LOUD | 47c | 203.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…1622backed LOUD | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked LOUD | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed LOUD | 39c | 194$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 184.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed LOUD | 40c | 178.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LOUD | 40c | 159$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked LOUD | 45c | 131.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed LOUD | 35c | 114.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked LOUD | 38c | 106.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LOUD | 48c | 106.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed LOUD | 39c | 105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 103.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked LOUD | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 88.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed LOUD | 39c | 79.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 76.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 74.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…24c7backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 57.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…0418backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 57.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 52.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 32.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 28.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 27.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…16cebacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked LOUD | 46c | 22.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 3 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.