Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd57891f05686da837cd82e4b11b91ec96b5e96db618ddd4418e0933f4b3f1f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOUD | 30c | 6,991$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.22 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed LOUD | 24c | 982.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked LOUD | 30c | 843.55$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…53f0backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 513.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LOUD | 27c | 427.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked LOUD | 30c | 417.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LOUD | 23c | 362.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed LOUD | 30c | 292.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 235.64$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 235.39$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 216.42$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 212$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LOUD | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed LOUD | 28c | 178.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 151.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…fe8abacked LOUD | 30c | 129.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 127.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 112.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed LOUD | 34c | 107$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 70.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…bdebbacked LOUD | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked LOUD | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…87c5backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 65.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 62.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed LOUD | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LOUD | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 45.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 24.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…24c7backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 18.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 3 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.