Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e871481cdf38e3a5c8d074ec93dbf027ae247c9d29b8bdd6dc8783ba99fb00b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, S2G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,635 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 3,812$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.11 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed S2G Esports | 30c | 3,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Misa Esports | 72c | 2,748$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.85 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -14.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked S2G Esports | 24c | 1,671$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed S2G Esports | 28c | 1,207$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked S2G Esports | 34c | 1,078$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed S2G Esports | 27c | 775.32$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked S2G Esports | 30c | 590$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…0caebacked Misa Esports | 66c | 439.39$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Misa Esports | 66c | 336.4$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed S2G Esports | 22c | 315.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed S2G Esports | 20c | 309.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked S2G Esports | 27c | 261$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed S2G Esports | 31c | 239.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Misa Esports | 53c | 205.88$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed S2G Esports | 32c | 163.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Misa Esports | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked S2G Esports | 24c | 123.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 68c | 113.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Misa Esports | 69c | 102$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked S2G Esports | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed S2G Esports | 30c | 81.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…5822backed Misa Esports | 71c | 74.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed S2G Esports | 28c | 66.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed S2G Esports | 26c | 66.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 58.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…881fbacked Misa Esports | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed S2G Esports | 24c | 52.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Misa Esports | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5a50backed Misa Esports | 71c | 42.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…fffbbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 41.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Misa Esports | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Misa Esports | 68c | 31.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 29.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Misa Esports | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed S2G Esports | 47c | 22.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed Misa Esports | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…542bbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Misa Esports | 72c | 14.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Map 1 WinnerS2G Esports won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Map 3 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Map 4 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.