Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x383e0f7414c1a7226c147fb238724be15f08b208da71ca285b35fe1b6aee37fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 11,982$5,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,625.7 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 52c | 6,999$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.64 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…6632backed Under | 72c | 3,615$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 3,053$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.46 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,655$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.57 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 63c | 1,577$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 1,109$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.65 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 64c | 998.02$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.73 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 31c | 900.52$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.07 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 62c | 808.67$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.7 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 727.2$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.14 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 53c | 700$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 42c | 650$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 56c | 640.46$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.72 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 79c | 635.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 37c | 605.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.77 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 52c | 601$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.52 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 55c | 600$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 37c | 568.58$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.21 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…c3f1backed Over | 62c | 500$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 465.44$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.92 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Over | 57c | 444.96$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 38c | 405.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd260…b480backed Over | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…ea19backed Over | 61c | 391$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 63c | 350$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 50c | 318.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Over | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 65c | 300.34$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.22 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 50c | 298.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 41c | 226.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 59c | 210$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…b622backed Over | 51c | 190.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…26c6backed Over | 34c | 159.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Over | 62c | 154.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 151.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 39c | 148.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 146.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 37c | 121.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 55c | 112$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 42c | 107.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 36c | 103.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Under | 39c | 102.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Over | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 50c | 93.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 38c | 86.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 55c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 72.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 56c | 71.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked Under | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Over | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 61.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 36c | 56.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…b53cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 52c | 41.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…de29backed Over | 52c | 40.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…d3babacked Over | 49c | 40.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…7180backed Over | 54c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 50c | 34.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…881fbacked Over | 65c | 34.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc888…f2cebacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…79e1backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Over | 62c | 30.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.