TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 141.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$972,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$973,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $972,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c592,944$302,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,140.8835945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c278,794$136,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,184.89860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over51c176,000$89,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,76021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c150,000$73,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,499.9989645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under49c141,505$69,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,167.5569142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under49c90,005$44,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,902.5530249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over51c71,066$36,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,233.034454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c52,608$26,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,60690645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under49c50,091$24,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,606.438145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under49c46,000$22,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,46021262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under51c34,242$17,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,918.6378155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,3001,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over51c12,490$6,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,37014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08012054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Under49c6,824$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.141040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over51c6,767$3,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,451.1712147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over51c4,669$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.143063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over51c4,396$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.916954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c4,310$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over51c4,222$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under49c4,060$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.4128539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under49c3,844$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.3127955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over51c2,059$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05018650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0209856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6861,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over52c1,238$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.0118844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c1,001$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.7755749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under48c938.24$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.889050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under51c920$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.84266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under49c850$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.33,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under49c699.98$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.9982048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under50c619.07$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.253455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under49c530.61$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6126749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25011347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under51c392.23$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6541354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c341.1$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.569350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under51c331.35$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.369543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over51c276$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.764660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over50c264.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6911159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209551.6%49 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over52c203.02$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5710049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Over50c193$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.52755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over50c179.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7619657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under50c172.8$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.173366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under51c132.24$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.816755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c121.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.614,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under50c104.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6919653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over50c98.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.025444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…5729backed Over52c93.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Over50c89.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Under50c87.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.012147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Over48c83.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404045%18 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Under49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.862753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Over52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.611147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e30…bbfebacked Over50c77.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de1…35f3backed Under51c70.08$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over36c68.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.586653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under49c64.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.919848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.17252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Over52c61.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.864951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over50c59.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.577251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Over51c58.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Over52c52.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.184868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b7…793dbacked Over50c48.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.372850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed Over52c48.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.211040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Over51c47.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1412341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Over52c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.535950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c46.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.217258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e35…0dd5backed Over51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.952250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Over52c43.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.493745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0925…462cbacked Over50c41.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.961435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd8…0c72backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb16…6b4fbacked Over51c38.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.691145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.