NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43bad9e2a0f5c774b0fda7461791f4783c051b9275b2e8710be8886fb23282c0

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $616,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $617,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $616,186 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	51c	517,200$265,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251,884.29	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	49c	287,323$140,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140,788.21	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under	48c	120,000$57,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,600	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under	48c	42,282$20,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,295.3	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	49c	30,000$14,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,700	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under	50c	8,479$4,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,239.38	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	50c	8,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under	49c	7,777$3,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,810.73	245	54.7%134 W · 111 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Under	49c	7,500$3,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,674.99	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed Under	50c	6,560$3,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,268.06	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+5.3wins	+0.24per pick	49cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over	51c	6,200$3,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,037.92	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…ebf1backed Under	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-4.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb93d…f0c4backed Over	51c	5,882$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,882.35	30	76.7%23 W · 7 L	+8.8wins	+0.29per pick	47cpaid	+69.9%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,449.96	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	50c	4,822$2,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,430.45	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	50c	4,731$2,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,365.7	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	50c	4,310$2,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,136.42	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	51c	3,864$1,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,897.98	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Under	52c	3,347$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,740.5	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over	51c	3,208$1,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,562.33	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over	51c	2,941$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,441.18	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	51c	2,574$1,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,261.26	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	50c	2,313$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,161.8	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9080…d00abacked Under	49c	2,309$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131.2	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	49c	2,007$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.54	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Under	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	51c	1,822$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.28	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	49c	1,700$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.24	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under	51c	1,471$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	220	35.5%78 W · 142 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	48c	1,197$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.38	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	38c	1,190$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.17	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over	50c	872$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436	238	50%119 W · 119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under	50c	860$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Under	51c	800$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under	49c	708.16$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under	44c	629.38$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.25	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	49c	494$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.06	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	49c	438.1$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.67	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under	51c	343.14$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over	51c	310$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.04	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over	49c	285.71$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.71	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under	9c	275.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.35	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	51c	250$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e4…00bdbacked Under	51c	245.1$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	51c	235$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.85	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under	51c	218.06$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over	49c	209.18$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.68	304	52.6%160 W · 144 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd804…832dbacked Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd59e…e640backed Over	50c	201$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.5	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	52cpaid	+42%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under	50c	200$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Under	49c	196.08$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.08	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over	52c	171$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.08	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Over	51c	147.06$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.06	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Under	48c	143.73$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.99	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	50c	121.21$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.61	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	51c	120$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over	52c	116.08$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.72	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…777bbacked Over	52c	106.24$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.99	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.22per pick	50cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Under	50c	105.67$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.53	167	49.1%82 W · 85 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c2…cdb2backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	120	59.2%71 W · 49 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbb…fd36backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98ce…cfffbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7656…194bbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Under	51c	98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	94	52.1%49 W · 45 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc708…4ebcbacked Under	51c	97.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under	51c	84.3$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.6	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over	51c	82.96$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.65	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over	51c	80$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	421	43.7%184 W · 237 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97a5…2f22backed Under	50c	79.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Over	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb485…20a5backed Under	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under	50c	68.93$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.47	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Over	48c	64.12$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.34	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over	51c	63.49$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.11	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	50c	62.36$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.08	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d81…20c3backed Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Over	52c	57.08$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.4	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Over	52c	56.07$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.91	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Under	49c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc7b…5b9ebacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Under	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over	48c	49.8$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.8	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	555	33.5%186 W · 369 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a41…145fbacked Under	50c	40.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.39	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event