NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87b649e99a7caeb602eac0b99345eaf600a9b36ac0d740a4e9aafde6ad3c2aeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Cavaliers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kings | 49c | 10,500$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.96 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 52c | 9,574$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.02 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Cavaliers | 56c | 9,142$5,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,105.52 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Kings | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.5 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cavaliers | 52c | 5,190$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.8 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Kings | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,183$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.42 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,073$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,886$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,523$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,071$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,621$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Kings | 52c | 1,364$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.72 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 45c | 1,166$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 1,006$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.85 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…4651backed Kings | 50c | 888$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…c8f3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 886$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…622bbacked Kings | 50c | 885$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 835.01$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.86 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 756$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 47c | 731.52$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.15 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 586.98$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.55 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Cavaliers | 43c | 468.51$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 412$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Kings | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cavaliers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Kings | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Cavaliers | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cavaliers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 50c | 391.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad27…32fdbacked Kings | 51c | 366$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Cavaliers | 51c | 355.29$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 343.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad8…f607backed Cavaliers | 50c | 332$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…866dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 331$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…1babbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 302$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…798ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Kings | 46c | 298.39$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.13 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…3f8cbacked Kings | 51c | 288$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ff…bfb6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 283$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Kings | 47c | 276.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kings | 46c | 261.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…c80cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 255$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…352bbacked Kings | 51c | 248$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Cavaliers | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 50c | 234.34$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Kings | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Kings | 49c | 200.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Cavaliers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Cavaliers | 51c | 172$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 28c | 167$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cavaliers | 53c | 151.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Cavaliers | 50c | 149.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings | 54c | 126.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Cavaliers | 51c | 124.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Cavaliers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Cavaliers | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Kings | 48c | 99.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Kings | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…12b9backed Kings | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Kings | 45c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…d762backed Kings | 48c | 60.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 51c | 60.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…317fbacked Kings | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Kings | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Cavaliers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 44.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Kings | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…5aa5backed Kings | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Cavaliers | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cavaliers | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…777bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 23.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Cavaliers | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…cce4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 19.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)this page
- Kings vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.