NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5a984c04edfea07265b744bcfa5578c056b62849c5bfc84a2014836360eab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Cavaliers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,043,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,060,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,043,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers | 52c | 388,097$201,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,805.21 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Kings | 48c | 350,000$169,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,499.97 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 48c | 250,000$120,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Cavaliers | 52c | 179,042$93,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,593.73 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 59,004$30,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,092.03 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Kings | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.99 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 51c | 30,531$15,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,960.28 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 26,045$13,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,052.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 21,752$10,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,787.26 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…3127backed Kings | 50c | 19,600$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 19,431$10,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,104 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kings | 48c | 18,600$8,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,672.06 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…f83dbacked Kings | 50c | 17,640$8,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,820 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 16,164$8,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,243.81 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 15,120$7,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,712.43 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Kings | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 52c | 11,635$6,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,045.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…1633backed Cavaliers | 47c | 8,400$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Kings | 50c | 8,250$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.7 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Kings | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Kings | 49c | 7,609$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.53 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Kings | 50c | 7,021$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.92 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Kings | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 30c | 5,156$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Kings | 49c | 5,122$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.31 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kings | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 48c | 4,423$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.87 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,071$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.01 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kings | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,913$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Kings | 49c | 2,841$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.82 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 47c | 2,352$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.3 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Kings | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Kings | 50c | 2,040$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 47c | 1,699$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.48 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Kings | 54c | 1,646$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.09 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Kings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 47c | 1,430$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.9 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Kings | 48c | 1,252$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.92 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 48c | 1,200$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.29 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Kings | 52c | 1,155$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.37 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,122$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Kings | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Cavaliers | 46c | 969.2$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Cavaliers | 18c | 906.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 11c | 890.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 41c | 879.09$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Kings | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 776.8$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Kings | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Kings | 49c | 609.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.09 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 565.23$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.19 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Kings | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Kings | 51c | 395.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 391.55$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed Cavaliers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Kings | 48c | 360.51$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.47 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Kings | 48c | 351.81$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.94 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Cavaliers | 42c | 349$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Kings | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Kings | 50c | 309.62$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 275.64$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cavaliers | 12c | 274.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Cavaliers | 52c | 265.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Cavaliers | 18c | 252.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Kings | 54c | 242.48$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Kings | 49c | 227.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Kings | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Kings | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Kings | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Kings | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Kings | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Kings | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers | 15c | 198.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kings | 49c | 173.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Kings | 65c | 167.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Cavaliers | 50c | 167.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 48c | 165.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Kings | 49c | 154.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…901ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 151.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 143$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 136.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 28c | 132.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cavaliers | 15c | 128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 120.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)this page
- Kings vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.