NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1028d76a55fc04cc798c79e486b339146d87215e7fc40a03669529b46b7c0b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Lightning, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $764,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $826,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $764,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 314,320$147,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,681.46 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Lightning | 53c | 301,802$159,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,973 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 53c | 84,697$44,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,873.39 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Blue Jackets | 49c | 39,581$19,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,261.94 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Lightning | 51c | 27,023$13,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,781.98 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 44c | 20,373$9,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,034.32 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Lightning | 1c | 15,000$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 14,560$6,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,571.23 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Lightning | 18c | 11,863$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.48 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 54c | 11,733$6,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,355.67 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 54c | 10,878$5,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,844.22 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…de52backed Lightning | 0c | 9,729$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Lightning | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 9,050$4,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.06 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 51c | 8,932$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.15 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Lightning | 5c | 8,728$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.06 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 8,539$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.74 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 7,657$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,134.96 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Lightning | 18c | 6,931$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.62 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Lightning | 52c | 6,767$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.84 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Lightning | 18c | 6,363$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.35 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 6,300$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Lightning | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 36c | 5,530$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.54 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 5,335$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.19 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Lightning | 57c | 5,009$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.8 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.95 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Blue Jackets | 79c | 4,385$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.8 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lightning | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 3,923$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.96 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 3,750$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e4…790dbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 3,600$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…facdbacked Lightning | 53c | 3,600$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lightning | 38c | 3,236$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.82 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 3,231$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.39 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 54c | 3,035$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.9 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Lightning | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 2,687$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.07 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Lightning | 54c | 2,485$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.41 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 2,091$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.94 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Lightning | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 1,961$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.09 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jackets | 69c | 1,836$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.51 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets | 49c | 1,796$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Lightning | 22c | 1,757$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.41 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Blue Jackets | 56c | 1,674$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.23 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Lightning | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 1,288$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.53 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 1,255$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.72 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 50c | 1,188$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Lightning | 10c | 1,150$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 47c | 1,100$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jackets | 62c | 1,093$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.01 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Lightning | 53c | 1,072$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.44 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Lightning | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Lightning | 4c | 1,021$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Blue Jackets | 49c | 1,018$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.53 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Lightning | 24c | 1,010$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…8208backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…a8a9backed Lightning | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 999.94$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 908.48$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.4 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Lightning | 53c | 878.72$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.72 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 799.98$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…011fbacked Blue Jackets | 47c | 723.4$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Lightning | 53c | 714.06$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.45 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 709.12$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.87 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 681$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.69 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jackets | 55c | 667.67$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.07 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Lightning | 31c | 643.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Lightning | 8c | 630$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 54c | 608.47$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.57 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Lightning | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Blue Jackets | 70c | 587.36$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Lightning | 53c | 566.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Lightning | 53c | 551.32$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.56 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Lightning | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets | 58c | 525.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2356…70b2backed Lightning | 54c | 515.8$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Blue Jackets | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Lightning | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Lightning | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lightning | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsthis page
- Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.