TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fordham Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 132.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$511,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$521,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over58c321,048$186,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186,186.9835945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under42c250,000$105,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144,999.839860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under42c83,954$35,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,693.469142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Over58c83,000$48,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,099.692646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under42c74,917$31,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,451.869652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over53c22,260$11,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,782.278155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over58c15,600$9,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,044.2210441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c12,500$5,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,62590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.954339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c8,178$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.4212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under44c5,651$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.011,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under44c5,571$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.983951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85012054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8505160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c3,596$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.315,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over58c2,340$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.636445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over56c2,150$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.358946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1138749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Over54c1,563$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8442055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under44c1,405$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.5518650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6726144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Over58c1,170$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.312948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under44c1,131$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.6121347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under45c1,110$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.513851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c999.96$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under42c913.51$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.848246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over58c862.71$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38555749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Under45c688.73$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c671.12$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.23,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe8…c79ebacked Over57c653.21$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.31,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over56c593.96$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0114151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c593$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.221,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1826749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under46c547.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.653158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c8…2564backed Under45c535.48$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.999856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…fb30backed Over58c417.28$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.621637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Under44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over58c350.84$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.494344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under45c311.64$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.645959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over58c306.7$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.899440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6cc…535abacked Over57c303.03$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.731643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over55c286.64$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15735050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Under47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.24949%24 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over54c206.11$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.33531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c200.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1144146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802025%5 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over55c189.94$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4726740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.82450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under44c175$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9832146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under45c173.77$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.72839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Over58c166.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.667450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f0f…956fbacked Over57c159.33$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8290%0 W · 9 L-4.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over58c156$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.395444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Over58c156$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.123043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under42c151.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.532,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed Under43c149.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c145.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.485,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Under45c145.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.234443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under44c137.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.024831.3%15 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…68f6backed Over58c135.41$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.541233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba07…70bdbacked Over57c127.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.06850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under45c122.29$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Over57c120.23$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.531323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-53.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under45c116.09$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.856144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under45c114.41$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.936238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1c2…5875backed Over57c106.26$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.134952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Over58c93.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.233348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.24146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under44c88.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.774,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Over58c86.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under44c83.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0119848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under44c79.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5523754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over54c78.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8841354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Over58c78.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.994746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9277…2aedbacked Under45c77.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.661450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over57c71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1817943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under42c70.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9712341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.187846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over55c66.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7997447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.66653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb485…20a5backed Under44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6a…72e3backed Under44c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.362630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a7…69e4backed Under44c52.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over57c52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.98547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d8…111ebacked Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.