TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fordham Rams vs. Davidson Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Davidson Wildcatsof Fordham Rams, Davidson Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Fordham Rams57c2,515$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.15,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Davidson Wildcats66c1,302$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.6299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Davidson Wildcats67c1,216$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.162,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Fordham Rams34c1,207$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.3289850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Davidson Wildcats42c1,082$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.5810041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fordham Rams33c799.95$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.982,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fordham Rams26c479$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.341,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Davidson Wildcats52c462.2$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.991,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Davidson Wildcats50c443.91$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.45,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Davidson Wildcats67c406.99$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.311,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Davidson Wildcats59c392.18$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.933,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Fordham Rams33c303$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9912733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Davidson Wildcats68c268.27$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.244,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Fordham Rams33c257.6$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.974831.3%15 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Fordham Rams30c245.37$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.461,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Davidson Wildcats62c236$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6818654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Fordham Rams38c236$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Fordham Rams51c233.12$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.063,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Davidson Wildcats51c225$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2519057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Fordham Rams51c194.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Davidson Wildcats60c179.8$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6438343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Fordham Rams33c168.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.581,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Davidson Wildcats52c140.42$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.041,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c6…50c6backed Davidson Wildcats29c137$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.522524%6 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Fordham Rams33c114.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9426740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fordham Rams24c109.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.084,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Fordham Rams26c104.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.852,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Davidson Wildcats53c96.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.872,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Fordham Rams22c91.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Fordham Rams22c89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Davidson Wildcats39c82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.671,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Fordham Rams32c75.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.262,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Fordham Rams32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Davidson Wildcats40c72.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2417943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Fordham Rams34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Fordham Rams33c63.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8497447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Davidson Wildcats66c60.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.64,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Fordham Rams35c57.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fordham Rams33c57.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Davidson Wildcats66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1710151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Fordham Rams33c49.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.42,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Fordham Rams34c46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6425436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Davidson Wildcats67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7821252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Davidson Wildcats67c44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5214339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed Fordham Rams35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Davidson Wildcats72c39.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Davidson Wildcats34c32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.023033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Davidson Wildcats65c30.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9318167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Fordham Rams35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.535650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x858d…c634backed Davidson Wildcats67c29.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.671127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Davidson Wildcats54c24.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.416243.5%27 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc36f…cd17backed Davidson Wildcats69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.742356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Davidson Wildcats74c18.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6632343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.