Champions League · resolved market
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d7fedb6f2e64fb1f7bd396b87e0b7217457047c32786226fa83a4028d898ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 6,008$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.81 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 76c | 4,100$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 21c | 2,412$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.39 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Under | 62c | 1,453$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.19 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…4367backed Over | 42c | 1,392$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 77c | 1,006$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…896ebacked Under | 73c | 575.34$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 20c | 473.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 20c | 366.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 58c | 295.67$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 21c | 266.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Under | 68c | 189.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…c421backed Under | 79c | 178.48$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 75c | 162.64$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Under | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 147.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 145.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 138.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…2a3ebacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Over | 10c | 104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Under | 77c | 99.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…66d7backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 58c | 89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Under | 65c | 72.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Under | 72c | 69.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 38c | 59.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59bf…3e29backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 38c | 49.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…a6edbacked Under | 65c | 43.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 36.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…6a16backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85fd…4d74backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Under | 76c | 22.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…8181backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…8be2backed Under | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Under | 75c | 15.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.