TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a73…2a3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
24
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osakabacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.09
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paulbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$232.53
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublevbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+400%+$180
Roland Garros WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+364.2%+$511.23
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50.91
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Minaurbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+590.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+590.9%+$236.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.