Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21657823ec555078b4197bd0cd88a4527932df0a7d747c01a06ea6d8f9c7827a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Appalachian State Mountaineersof Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns, Appalachian State Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 16c | 3,117$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 14c | 3,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 22c | 1,963$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 79c | 1,831$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.33 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 19c | 1,739$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.41 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 1c | 1,383$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 29c | 1,292$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 28c | 1,159$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 80c | 698$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 21c | 626.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 602$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 18c | 584.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 21c | 565.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 21c | 480.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 69c | 472.67$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.64 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 27c | 466.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d477backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 22c | 459.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 77c | 400.57$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 78c | 399.96$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 77c | 383$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 74c | 372.6$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 367.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa926…eb7abacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 7c | 318.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 18c | 285.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 281.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9962…2d76backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 21c | 239.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 19c | 197.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…2a3ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1a…365fbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 70c | 131.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 80c | 125.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 18c | 118.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…418cbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 70c | 101.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 19c | 101.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 78c | 95.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 18c | 93.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7d…464fbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 70c | 74.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…653cbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 70c | 62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 73c | 61.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 22c | 60.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 57.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…60f1backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 32c | 56.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 70c | 40.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 74c | 32.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…3344backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 71c | 30.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…850bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…963bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 76c | 27.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c78…f9bcbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 73c | 15.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 73c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 74c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d93…4e27backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersthis page
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 122.5Over won
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 124.5Over won
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 125.5Over won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-8.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-9.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.