Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99321168c3c934b296f094f6f766022a76eff58f1d804c110e9e08fef71f8360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 14c | 36,474$5,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 13c | 30,112$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.51 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 12,603$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.56 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 10,885$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.94 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 6c | 8,891$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.1 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 5c | 4,733$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 3,873$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 6c | 2,916$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.61 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 6c | 2,853$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 2c | 1,944$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 12c | 1,691$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Yes | 14c | 1,678$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,267$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 6c | 1,161$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 5c | 940.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 11c | 780$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…b7a9backed Yes | 9c | 750$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 6c | 660.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 7c | 611.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 14c | 449$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 380.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f11…ea18backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…ca72backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…b92abacked Yes | 7c | 230.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…baacbacked Yes | 7c | 197.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Yes | 13c | 192.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 176$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839d…4ac6backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d391backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 13c | 131$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…2a3ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 14c | 91.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 15c | 71.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.