TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jovicof Jovic, Paolini
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Paolini57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.995955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jovic43c9,331$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,300.5776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Paolini35c8,052$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.011,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Jovic43c6,000$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,426.85228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Paolini17c5,731$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.742,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Paolini56c5,646$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.5810443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Paolini23c5,465$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25859151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Paolini57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Paolini24c4,912$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.882,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jovic74c4,476$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.288,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jovic67c4,117$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.7811,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Paolini57c3,736$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.484560%27 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Jovic43c3,505$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.6548552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Paolini13c3,368$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.912,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Paolini46c3,232$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jovic44c3,168$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.5925428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Paolini38c3,042$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.048825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jovic43c3,012$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.051,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Paolini57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Jovic45c2,818$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.822646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e0…d457backed Paolini30c2,688$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.641127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paolini22c2,632$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.797,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Paolini19c2,500$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1781938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Paolini56c2,300$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28871852.8%379 W · 339 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb13…8bb4backed Paolini56c2,126$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Paolini45c2,124$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.141,15144.4%511 W · 640 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Jovic43c2,093$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Paolini55c2,073$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.55860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadb4…3214backed Paolini11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.62326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Jovic43c1,781$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.1724448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jovic61c1,764$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.241,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jovic53c1,748$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.682,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1021…e648backed Paolini59c1,706$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.661631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Jovic44c1,705$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.5532337.5%121 W · 202 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Jovic77c1,663$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.739348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Jovic62c1,636$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.1233156.2%186 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Paolini39c1,421$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55030847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Jovic66c1,387$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.311,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Jovic72c1,328$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.726244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Jovic45c1,279$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.21,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jovic44c1,233$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6872,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Paolini24c1,190$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6235951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Jovic44c1,137$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.725036%18 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Paolini32c1,030$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.5519023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Jovic80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Jovic44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Jovic44c999.98$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9937540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jovic75c978.69$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.613,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Paolini58c965.52$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jovic45c905.68$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.481,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Jovic79c902$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8810043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Paolini45c831.51$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.014,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Paolini54c821.59$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.5517432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Paolini15c802.53$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.421811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Paolini41c751.83$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2531647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Paolini18c735.56$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.412627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Paolini55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3854748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Jovic43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.674647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jovic79c680.46$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f8…2d91backed Paolini33c665.44$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Paolini36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21644038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jovic41c597.68$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.637,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…2a3ebacked Paolini8c590.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501520%3 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Paolini34c588.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Jovic42c564.58$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4525134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Paolini27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15053752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90f…7b32backed Paolini36c539.96$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.593050%15 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Paolini26c538.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Paolini58c532.76$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30926158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Paolini57c531.79$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.383046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051f…66b0backed Jovic76c524.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.251844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0f…ae40backed Paolini36c520.26$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.54557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Paolini58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Paolini59c500.64$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9712861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Jovic45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27514663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Paolini58c497.91$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28851849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Paolini57c482.46$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27511353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Paolini57c456.78$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Paolini25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Paolini49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1967724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Jovic78c384.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5218644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Paolini56c359.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Paolini56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Paolini56c350$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf463…8e9dbacked Paolini55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Paolini58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Paolini58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Paolini28c331.82$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Jovic58c315.31$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.021,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Jovic42c313.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8627733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Paolini48c308.13$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.96046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Paolini27c306$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6225722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Jovic43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17178052.7%411 W · 369 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Paolini57c300$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f6b…010cbacked Paolini11c280.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.650%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jovic78c257.94$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3688455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Paolini23c250.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5739850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Jovic72c246.32$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3829454.8%161 W · 133 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c0…a76cbacked Paolini58c246.12$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Paolini55c243.25$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2288749.8%442 W · 445 L-22.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.