Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a608ee50ea2da7c0824416342e4de58f6a3da9a622df81af7e4b2d50b07045

Rebuilt 10 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 19, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,849 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	29c	2,281$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.41	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	66c	1,922$1,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.6	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over	24c	1,441$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.9	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	58c	1,413$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.46	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over	39c	1,283$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.5	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	63c	1,221$772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.58	138	41.3%57 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	59c	994.46$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.73	2,558	47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	42c	933$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under	69c	720.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.68	43	67.4%29 W · 14 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	41c	555.44$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.73	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	18c	488.14$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.7	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	33c	380.99$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.73	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	30c	368$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.4	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Under	60c	334.48$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.42	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over	43c	309.3$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over	25c	297.05$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.3	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Under	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	73c	239.49$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.66	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	57c	238.1$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.33	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	69cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over	43c	233$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.19	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-9.7wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Under	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	297	35.4%105 W · 192 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	36c	166.67$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Over	38c	157.89$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over	43c	139.53$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over	24c	130$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	85	16.5%14 W · 71 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over	41c	123.58$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.62	108	20.4%22 W · 86 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over	42c	122.5$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.45	222	29.3%65 W · 157 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under	60c	120$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Under	59c	101.69$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.69	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	396	51.5%204 W · 192 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59cf…71dabacked Under	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	9	100%9 W · 0 L	+3.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	43c	93.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Under	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa34…02c5backed Over	18c	83.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over	42c	83.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	351	34.8%122 W · 229 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e54…8f4dbacked Under	64c	77.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.67	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over	38c	75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	27cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over	41c	68.05$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.7	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over	43c	67.53$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over	42c	66.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	248	44.4%110 W · 138 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	63c	62$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	724	42.7%309 W · 415 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	57c	59.9$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over	42c	59.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	59c	55$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.3	71	62%44 W · 27 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc9cb…015fbacked Under	73c	54.79$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.79	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-4.1wins	-0.31per pick	62cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Over	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	44c	49.24$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under	58c	45.49$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.11	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	73c	43.22$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	1,938	42.5%823 W · 1,115 L	-41.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under	58c	42.09$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.68	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over	43c	41.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under	66c	31.38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.67	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x754d…893bbacked Under	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	61cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	58c	29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.18	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f69…91d6backed Over	43c	27.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	42c	27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	1,636	52.9%866 W · 770 L	+32.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under	59c	25.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	60c	25.2$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.08	153	53.6%82 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bca…dcaabacked Over	42c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-8.0wins	-0.28per pick	55cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	410	40.5%166 W · 244 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb3c…c595backed Under	61c	23.61$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.21	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event