Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d71c08b06651e59ac1aaf99e5d7aada7b1419c39931e28bca7642cd48bedcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Under | 77c | 2,600$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 23c | 2,542$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.7 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…e517backed Over | 23c | 2,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 4c | 1,999$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 77c | 1,935$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.05 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 24c | 1,029$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 76c | 444$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 76c | 413.46$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 76c | 399.96$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Over | 18c | 277.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…6cb7backed Under | 79c | 270$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 78c | 134.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 23c | 116$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…1634backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 18c | 77.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…d91abacked Under | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 77c | 50.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…c9e9backed Under | 77c | 30.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98b3…d941backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…8be2backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.