Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5617e531ac45588ce07179544e6a8300a0b7a1e2e123bbd43d95db407e8f39b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AFC Bournemouthof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, AFC Bournemouth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AFC Bournemouth | 74c | 10,285$7,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.48 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 27c | 6,139$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.26 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed AFC Bournemouth | 73c | 2,552$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.34 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 8c | 2,434$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…e517backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 14c | 1,218$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…0f59backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 28c | 899.66$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.17 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 29c | 788$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed AFC Bournemouth | 72c | 768.95$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 28c | 599.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed AFC Bournemouth | 71c | 499.92$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 29c | 467.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…06dfbacked AFC Bournemouth | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…648abacked AFC Bournemouth | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ed…d769backed AFC Bournemouth | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 27c | 269$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 71c | 232.39$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e28…f840backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 31c | 187.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 27c | 147$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1652…a501backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…51d9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 29c | 137.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked AFC Bournemouth | 72c | 123.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed AFC Bournemouth | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 31c | 67.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed AFC Bournemouth | 72c | 59.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 26c | 42.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3955backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…1692backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 30c | 41.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed AFC Bournemouth | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed AFC Bournemouth | 73c | 28.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed AFC Bournemouth | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed AFC Bournemouth | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed AFC Bournemouth | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.