TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c47,906$24,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,076.172450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,100560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c8,203$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,991.332,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.9920544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c5,515$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.1752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5004040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5008251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under48c2,413$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.091942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9917744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7509652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c1,217$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.671,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over50c1,157$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.514142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5174242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Under48c1,040$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c1,010$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52510650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over47c1,008$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.67850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over52c1,005$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.447254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40010152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under48c795$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3516046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over30c737.85$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.585538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under68c721.45$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c709.95$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.0298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c623.27$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8422947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over25c598.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under50c571.65$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.651330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under51c540$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.66949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82c…acb0backed Over53c506.74$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under50c494.58$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c451.2$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21025556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21018459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21012048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20028556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under51c340$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-62.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under50c330$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c330$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16516851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1258948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12512253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Under49c222.45$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.453447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11014155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11033951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Under49c209$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.591127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick61cpaid-56%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Under52c191.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.097954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over36c182.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.624849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8511154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8512453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8511454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8510952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8511953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8011448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f5d…20c8backed Over44c155.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.35683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over52c148.75$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under48c140.02$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5816448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over21c120.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6013650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under49c118$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1812452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under49c114.29$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.292268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Over52c112.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354727.7%13 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under47c99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.146246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c96.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4938739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd9d…06b0backed Over21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under51c95.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6531441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over50c93.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8620841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc270…1379backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f6…4313backed Under64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over53c76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.288444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under49c73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.247852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.