TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c11,656$7,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,011.622,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over25c6,399$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.313324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Under40c3,625$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over77c2,360$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.82867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under23c1,532$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.414727.7%13 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Under6c1,252$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.523531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over68c1,057$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.242568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over45c999.96$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.981010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-77.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under33c935.05$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c810.93$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3941,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.227464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over62c699.99$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.113056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over28c692.65$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.7611856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over46c647.83$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.83850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under25c599.25$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.089826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over34c549.54$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.75538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.969154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over36c456.67$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4713142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over68c416.29$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.298065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9615459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over22c400$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.44035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over61c398.53$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.373066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over42c386.34$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.653860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over67c373.25$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2511268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c329.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.997220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc581…ade5backed Over75c318.53$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.533100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+202.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca51…fca8backed Over36c299.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.991681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over25c245.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.44070%28 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x455c…1c25backed Over63c225.57$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.51540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under75c210.67$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1587544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c209.38$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over67c200$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.644070%28 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81c7…8b51backed Over77c185.14$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c182.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.827848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over66c166$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.443571.4%25 W · 10 L+9.1wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+65.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Over68c166$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.12580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+185%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.292729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa388…511fbacked Over78c161.01$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.42580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over29c160$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.226956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd95b…188ebacked Over77c145.68$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over70c142.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.788965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over42c117$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6914549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c116.23$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2334553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over28c115.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3911460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over35c115.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5315141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over46c109.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0515648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f6…4313backed Under55c105.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Under70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over77c96.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8617958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over33c91.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2110951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over59c87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.672433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.962454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9615238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Over80c86.95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.391573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over21c85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2615041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over31c81.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.514727.7%13 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Over32c79.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.592751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Under78c77.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick54cpaid-72.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf873…f644backed Under50c76.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Over75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over75c63.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over46c52.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.175450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.517955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.516046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under24c49.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1914452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under32c48.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5816340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Under26c48.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.491553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Over42c46.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.078737.9%33 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Under76c44.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.57875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Under58c41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.934131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9817058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.614740.8%60 W · 87 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over39c35.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.98748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03d2…e29dbacked Over31c35.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+225.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under65c31.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3936852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3212744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.324671.7%33 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972387%20 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4a5…398fbacked Over77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…a568backed Over77c24.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2a…4be1backed Over54c23.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under70c22.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4211529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over76c22.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.316972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.214351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3513…c19dbacked Over63c19.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over73c16.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.432263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Over75c13.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.