Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0168f593ef2444d130b3ed8a8b134fc13666e67d721153a75cbbbf3711cd2737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Under | 73c | 34,427$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,426.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 27c | 20,660$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.97 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 10,896$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 79c | 8,666$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.86 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 77cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 78c | 2,742$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.24 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 27c | 2,290$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.22 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 28c | 1,860$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 28c | 1,703$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.01 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 27c | 1,389$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.03 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 71c | 1,336$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.3 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 27c | 1,002$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.52 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 30c | 745$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.5 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 72c | 650$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 28c | 600$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 28c | 551.89$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 27c | 420$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 27c | 420$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 27c | 420$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 27c | 330$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 27c | 330$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 71c | 197$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 29c | 187.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 28c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 18c | 58.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Over | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Over | 28c | 44.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Under | 72c | 41.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.