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La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe7fd…89debacked Over50c12,538$6,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,268.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c10,526$6,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,483.524,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under51c8,402$4,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,116.843551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under62c5,075$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.1284144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Over50c4,997$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c7…fb64backed Over49c4,447$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1420253.5%108 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under50c3,621$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.4535442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c3,321$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.282,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9905927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under57c2,526$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.262944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over53c2,390$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.831145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,015$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.691,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over49c2,002$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98117128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over50c1,998$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under49c1,952$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.1815559.4%92 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over39c1,830$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7052040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under74c1,642$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5422653.5%121 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over34c1,448$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.994440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over43c1,397$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over50c1,392$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c1,376$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.5649252.6%259 W · 233 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over45c1,126$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c1,092$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.2132645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over49c1,076$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5278041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.398343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over30c931.65$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4857839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over25c900$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2811819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c800$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40465356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under49c800$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4127358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under50c759.79$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.436360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35010760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ce…6da3backed Over50c688.88$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.111741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over50c674.94$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4721641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under51c619.03$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5213062.3%81 W · 49 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under69c617.18$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc83…ee1ebacked Over53c613.21$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c611.5$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.223,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Over51c583.08$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under50c547.49$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.752951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c530.86$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6311444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under53c509.39$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9274657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Under62c479.5$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44c…b049backed Over53c475.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Over53c472.7$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.532347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c469.51$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Over50c440$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under50c402.13$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1113362.4%83 W · 50 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007050%35 W · 35 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012166.1%80 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c320.26$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8975751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under50c316.73$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.379457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c301.16$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8969350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055918.6%11 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under50c287.41$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5122658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Under50c281.65$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.475561.8%34 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c254.72$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.651,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c249.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.545949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Over17c235.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Over53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdffc…32e1backed Over14c209.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c204.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.365137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over49c201$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4928045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a81…b80bbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010461.5%64 W · 40 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under47c196$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.885757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over49c195$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.558641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Over50c187.68$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.84875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c186.34$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.61,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under49c177.55$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.559336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Over50c172$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over44c162.37$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.593237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under51c153.76$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9428138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2a…8dbdbacked Over53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over51c142.75$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.88672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a3d…9351backed Over53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c136.36$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dae…e592backed Over14c135.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under50c134.59$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8522246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over15c133.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.982070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over15c131.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.746170.5%43 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.