La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x659102438047793acfee366425dccc3315e96264a21b960fe64d302599d208fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 73c | 4,402$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.54 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 1,743$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 27c | 1,286$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.35 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 28c | 959.16$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.77 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 27c | 907.41$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 854.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 20c | 299.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 16c | 210$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 27c | 208.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 72c | 174.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 27c | 167$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 74c | 150.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Under | 73c | 140.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 72c | 118.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…83f8backed Over | 28c | 112.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 27c | 76.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c7…4471backed Under | 73c | 42.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…a8bbbacked Under | 74c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…6906backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.